Senior Research Analyst,
FXTM
Investors should brace for potential
volatility across Nigerian markets in the week ahead, despite the economic
calendar void of Tier 1 data releases.
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Persistent trade tensions between the
world’s two largest economies, the Chinese Yuan weakening past the
psychological 7 level, Brexit developments and depreciating oil prices on
persistent global growth fears are themes that impact Nigeria’s economy.
On the bright side, between January and
June this year, the largest economy in Africa recorded a total investment
commitment of $15.15 billion in a handful of sectors across the economy. Given
how Nigeria remains on a quest to break away from the chains of oil reliance,
this development will bode well for sentiment and overall investor confidence
towards the nation.
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Market players should keep a very close
watch on Oil prices which remain pressured by demand side concerns and the
Dollar’s valuation following last week’s hawkish US rate cut. The combination
of Dollar strength and weakness across oil markets is negative for emerging
market energy producers with Nigeria falling into the category.
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With Nigeria still on a fragile path to
recovery, the central bank of Nigeria (CBN) is positioned to cut interest rates
again in the second half of 2019. The Federal Reserve’s 0.25% rate cut
certainly offered the CBN and many other emerging markets central banks the
breathing room needed to ease monetary policy and support their local
economies.
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