FXTM Senior Research
Analyst
A darker mood awaits financial markets
after the Organization of Economic
Cooperation and Development (OECD) lowered its global growth forecast to
2.9% for this year and 3% in 2020.
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Escalating trade tensions between the
United States and China have sapped investor confidence, compounded to policy
uncertainty and dampened risk sentiment across global financial markets. Given
how China’s GDP is projected to expand by 6.1% in 2019 and 5.7% in 2020
compared to the 6.6% achieved in 2018, this presents a significant risk for
emerging markets, especially those who have fostered close trade ties with
China.
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Decelerating global growth may result
in falling demand for crude which is bad news for emerging market energy
exporters like Nigeria. Today’s gloomy report from the OECD could speed up the
global monetary easing train as more central banks defend their respective
economies from unfavourable macroeconomic conditions.
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It will be interesting to see whether
the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)
cuts interest rates in September or decides to catch the fast-moving train at a
later stop.
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