FXTM Senior Research
Analyst
Africa’s largest economy will reveal
updates on its latest gross domestic growth figures in the week ahead.
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Given how major and developing
economies across the globe are feeling the impacts of escalating trade tensions
between the US and China, there will be a special focus on Nigeria’s second
quarter GDP figures for 2019.
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Sentiment and overall confidence over
the Nigerian economy will be dealt a major blow is the GDP data fails to meet
market expectations. Economic growth during Q2 is projected to expand 2.5% from
the 2.01% witnessed during the first quarter of 2019.
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The question on the mind of many
investors is whether depreciating oil prices will negatively impact growth given
how oil account for roughly 90% of export earnings. A disappointing report
should strengthen the argument for the Central
Bank of Nigeria to cut interest rates in an effort to stimulate growth.
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While the developments at home will
certainly influence the Naira and local stock market, global growth concerns
and overall market sentiment must not be overlooked. Fresh signs of sizzling
trade tensions between the two largest economies in the world, an appreciating
Dollar and solid US jobs report on Friday will weigh on the Naira and possibly
Nigerian stocks and risk sentiment dwindles.
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