Monday 27 July 2015

BOOSTING NON-OIL EXPORT SECTOR: AN AGENDA FOR BUHARI ADMINISTRATION

Successive administrations have acknowledged that if the country must achieve its set goal of becoming one of the top 20 largest economies of the world, Nigeria must embrace and develop the non-oil export sector. It has also been generally observed that the country must develop the non-oil sector with resources from oil. The sustained volatility of world oil prices, the global tendency towards a diversified export based economy and the urgent need to expedite the process of economic growth and development has made it imperative that we either focus on non-oil export or we regret it.

From available statistics, only few countries of the world can match Nigeria’s endowment in natural resources. With an estimated population of over 160 million, and onshore and offshore that boast of some of the finest deposits of oil and natural gas, a rainforest belt that offers the best cash crops and hard wood and a savannah region with very large tones of oil seeds, coffee, chilies, spices and abundant solid mineral resources.  In fact, the opportunity that Nigeria offers investors in export is immense and irresistible. In spite of all these, Nigeria’s economy has remained largely monolithic with investment in non-oil export sector being everything but strategic.

There is no gain saying that any policy or strategy aimed at achieving the nation’s Vision 20 2020, this country’s economic recovery should, therefore, integrate the development of the non-oil export sector to play its desired role.  Indeed, only a purposeful and well-articulated non-oil export development policy that must form part of our general development plan can achieve such a goal.

Export and National Development
The close connection between international trade and development in developing countries cannot be over emphasised.  As a result, the pattern of trade, the institutions involved in it, and the strategies employed for maximising benefit as well as best terms of trade are of utmost importance to developing countries.  The importance of the trade sector to the economy of developing countries shows significant contribution of the export sector. Given the above scenario, there can be no significant development in Nigeria unless something is done about our non-oil export sector.

The non-oil export sector, which has suffered neglect over the years, suffered a major setback as the total income generated from its export has been unstable. For example, the total earnings from non-oil exports dropped by 34 per cent in just one month, the latest economic report released by the Central Bank of Nigeria has indicated.

A report recently obtained from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) noted that the revenue fell by 34.8 per cent and 4.5 per cent below the levels in the preceding month and the corresponding month of 2013, respectively. The drop in the non-oil exports reflected, largely, the fall in the earnings from food products, manufacturing and industrial sectors.

The report stated: “A breakdown by sectors showed that proceeds from agriculture, manufacturing, industrial, food products, minerals and transport sub-sectors stood at $658.32million, $115.47million, $71.61million, $11.82million, $9.82million and $68million. The shares of agriculture, manufacturing, industrial, food products, minerals and transport sub-sectors in non-oil export proceeds were 75.92, 13.32, 8.26, 1.36, 1.13 and 0.01per cent.”

The incentive regime has been very weak with only Export Expansion Grant occasionally working out of 12 incentives. Even the incentive that is working favours foreigners to the detriment of indigenous companies.

Strategic Action Plan
The new strategy being proposed by this paper is not a revolutionary concept, but rather an evolutionary one. The strategies earlier employed to boost the non-oil export capacity of Nigeria had all being anchored on one or more government agencies. This strategy proposes a progression of anchoring the strategy on a higher authority – the presidency. Taking a cue from Obama Export Initiative, there is need to constitute a NATIONAL STRATEGIC EXPORT COMMITTEE. The committee must be statutory and chaired by the President or the deputy. Other Public sector representatives must not be below the rank of Permanent Secretary. The bulk of the committee members will be private sector technocrats highly knowledgeable in the subject matter.

This will further emphasise the sensitivity of non-oil exports and the seriousness with which the government aims to tackle the much publicised diversification of the economic base of the nation in favour of non-oil export. The key function of the committee should be to formulate, monitor and review export plans, policies and targets to ensure compliance by operators. There should be sub-committees, which should meet more regularly to review the role of the sector and prepare inputs for quarterly meetings. To ensure continuity and stability, members should be allowed a minimum tenure of five years.
This committee should also receive report of problems; fraudulent practices etc from both exporters and other operators, and make recommendations for solutions.  It should also be a one stop solution ground for exporters and all operators. The committee should take up the development of the service export sub-sector as a matter of national importance.

Matters of urgent attention
1.      Introduce initiatives to improve conditions that directly affect the private sector’s ability to export by removing trade barriers abroad, by helping firms — especially small businesses overcome the hurdles to entering new export markets, by assisting with financing, and in general by pursuing a government-wide approach to export advocacy abroad, among other steps.

2.      Develop programmes designed to enhance export assistance to SMEs, including programmes that improve information and other technical assistance to first-time exporters and assist exporters in identifying new export opportunities in international markets.

3.      Revive all export incentive schemes currently not available to assist exporters. This is because these schemes will not run alone but will rather serve as the pivot for the success of other incentive schemes already in existence; that is why it is an evolutionary strategy.

4.      Promote services trade, including the necessary policy and export promotion tools. This has become necessary because the former incentives focus on agricultural products and manufacturing to the detriment of services and outsourcing in which Nigeria has comparative advantage.

Other Recommendations
In the face of unfavourable developments in the international oil market which is likely to be with us for some time to come, Nigeria must seek alternative exports or face the unhappy consequences of constantly reduced foreign exchange earnings.

  1. Activation of the commodity exchange
In recognition of its dire need a commodity exchange was approved for Nigeria years ago; unfortunately, since its establishment the nation has not gained any benefit.  This absence of a commodity exchange has robbed the sub sector of growth opportunities. The inactivity of the commodity exchange market leaves all manners of characters in the trade and makes it possible for foreigners to get into the country and move directly to the farm gate to procure commodities by passing everybody in the commodity trading chain.

As a result of all these, the pricing of Nigerian commodities since the scraping of the commodity Boards is governed by the laws of the market demand and supply. The ridiculous prices are either fixed by farmers and middlemen or by foreigners who wish to transfer funds out of the country. This leaves bona fide exporters out in the cold.  There are no signs that these outrageous domestic prices will abate hence the need for us to ensure as a matter of urgency the full take off of the commodity exchange market.

2.      Establishment of a National Institute For Export
The international market is often described as ruthless, selective and fiercely competitive. In the face of the issues and difficulties associated with exporting, the personnel of an enterprise going into export must be trained to enable them handle the export functions effectively. They need to develop the necessary skills, knowledge and confidence to initiate and conclude export transactions.

The truth about exporting is that the quality of your export is a reflection of the quality of your manpower.  The fact that we have not done so well in non-oil export is traceable to the absence of export education policy in the nation. Only one university in Nigeria offers a degree programme in International Trade. The absence of a national export institute has allowed charlatans to exploit exporters with sub-standard training and ripped them office their scarce resources.

3.      Establishment of Export Houses
Export Houses are recognised secondary marketing channels for small and medium enterprises in export.  In Canada for example, 40 per cent of their exports outside the United States are contributed by Export Houses. Many developing countries have come to realise the need to have export houses to assist SMEs because of their numerous constraints.

While large firms tend to possess necessary resources and skills to handle exporting in house, many small and mid-size manufacturers do not. Smaller firms tend to shy away from exporting, not only because of their limited resources and lack of knowledge regarding foreign markets, but also because of the perceived risk and uncertainty associated with overseas sales. As a result, during their initial stage of export involvement, they often need assistance from export intermediaries.

Intermediaries perform an important economic function by linking individuals and firms that otherwise would not have been connected. Such a function is especially critical in export transactions characterised by the geographical and cultural separation between sellers and buyers. Usually dubbed ‘traders’, export intermediaries are specialised service firms whose mission is to bridge the gap between domestic manufacturers and foreign customers.

Intermediaries can calm smaller manufacturers’ ‘fears’ about foreign markets by leveraging their knowledge about overseas markets and efficiency of selling products abroad. They economise on exporting costs, through their contacts, experience, specialisation and scale of operations, more efficiently than many manufacturers can achieve on their own. For the concept of an export management company to work, both parties must fully recognise the delegation of responsibilities; the costs associated with these activities; and the need for information sharing, cooperation, and mutual reliance.

  1. Evolving export-led Sme policies
Just as recommended in the case of agriculture, it is imperative that SMEs’ policies have an export orientation at the point of conception.  This would culminate in the entrenchment of a wide-spread export culture in the country.  Experiences of industrialised countries have proven that small and medium scale enterprises are the pivot of exports as they account for at least 60 per cent of export activities. With SMEs in the centre of exports, repatriation of proceeds is guaranteed. It is recognition of this type of advantage that UNIDO has supported the Federal Ministry of Industries Trade and Investment in establishing and organising the Aba leather products-cluster.  This strategy should be extended to other products.

  1. Making poverty alleviation programmes export-led
All the poverty alleviation programmes must have export as part of their strategies for national economic growth. For this to be possible, people at the helm of affairs in these institutions need to be exposed in order for them to see the need to integrate export in their policy formulation. The International Trade Centre has an Export lead Poverty Reduction Programme we can copy from

Conclusion
Nigeria is no doubt one of the most promising countries in Africa and its potential as a net exporter of agro industrial products, manufactures and services has never been in doubt and will continue to attract high interest from the international business community.  The main thrust of all the sectoral economic reform policies is aimed at:
  • Diversifying the economy in favour of non-oil export and poverty reduction activities
  • Adopting strategies aimed at integrating the economy into the globalised economic framework, using domestic competitiveness as a lunch-pad for reasserting the country’s position in the globalisation process.

Result from the various interactive stakeholders meetings in the past has indicated the preparedness of the Nigerian private sector to accept the challenge of driving the nation’s economy. This acceptance is, however, predicated on the ability of government to provide the proverbial enabling environment. It is, therefore, in recognition of this that recommended solutions need to be vigorously pursued.

In doing this also, the government must accept and act on the fact that a lot of financial investments must go into the creation of the necessary support structures towards making Export the hub of the nation’s economic development and growth

(Source: The Nation)

No comments:

Post a Comment