Data
obtained from the NSE showed that just as was the case last year, foreign
investment outflow exceeded inflow in the first eight months of 2015. Foreign
investors had pulled N846.53bn from the stock market last year although they
invested N692.39bn, a development that caused the NSE All-Share Index to close
with a negative return of -16.14 per cent.
This is
because the market is dominated by the foreign investors. They accounted for
57.52 per cent of total transactions in 2014. In the first eight months of this
year, foreign investment inflow was N367.10bn, which was N43.39bn less than
outflow.
Despite the
reported exit of many foreign investors from the stock market and expectations
that domestic investors would take advantage of low stock prices, foreign
investors still dominated the market, accounting for 54.36 per cent of the
N1.430tn transactions in equities as of August.
Further
review of the participation statistics showed that foreign portfolio investment
outflow exceeded inflow in six of the eight months under consideration. Inflow
exceeded outflow in April, as investor confidence rose after the peaceful
conduct of the presidential election, and in June following the change in
government. Year-to-date, the NSE All-Share Index has a negative return of
-12.40.
The N1.430tn
transactions recorded in the equities segment of the NSE in the first eight
months of this year was, however, 5.8 per cent or N88bn less than the N1.518tn
transactions recorded in the same period of 2014.
The Head,
Investment and Research, Sterling Capital, Mr.
Sewa Wusu, said: “A combination of factors has
actually been affecting the Nigerian economy and by extension we have seen
reactions in the financial markets generally. They are headwinds that investors
would naturally react to because of the fear of eroding the value of their investment.”
He, however,
said that did not mean that the Nigerian economy did not have potential as it
were, stressing that what was affecting the economy was a global problem as oil
prices were down and commodity prices were tumbling. According to him, now that
the political risk has fizzled out, it is time for the government to face the
economy squarely.
This, he
said, was because “most investors are just exiting to
preserve their capital and wait for the tide to clear because they cannot just
make investment decisions when there is no clarity in the macroeconomic space.”
On why
domestic investors have not taken full advantage of the low stock prices, the
Managing Director, Cowry Asset Management Limited, Mr. Johnson Chukwu, explained that the domestic investors in the
market were majorly Pension Fund Administrators, with private investors lacking
access to credit.
He added: “If you look at the portfolio of the PFAs, you will see that
they are getting underweight in equities; they are shifting much more of their
funds to Federal Government Treasury Bills and bonds, which simply mean that
they have more faith in the fact that interest rates would go up further. We
are in an economy where because of unclear economic policies, you cannot say
that equity prices will rally.”
(punch)
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