FXTM Research Analyst
The economic calendar for Nigeria is
relatively light this week with the only Tier 1 economic report scheduled for
release on Tuesday.
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All eyes will be on the latest
inflation figure for June which is projected to rise 11.7% YoY. While signs of
rising inflationary pressures will be an unwelcome development for the Nigerian
economy, much attention will be directed towards the Central Bank of Nigeria
(CBN) lending policy.
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In an effort to stimulate economic
growth the CBN has instructed banks to use at least 60% of their deposits for
loans to the real sector by the end of September 30. While this move has the
potential to boost the economy as business investments increase and small and
medium-sized enterprises (SME) receive support, it is too early to come to any
conclusions.
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Outside of Nigeria, the main themes
influencing global sentiment will revolve around trade developments, Fed
interest rate cut speculation, Brexit and anticipation around the upcoming G7
meeting.
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There will be a lot of focus on the US
retail sales data on Tuesday which influence expectations over how many times
the Fed will cut rates in the second half of 2019. A disappointing US retail
sales print will most likely weaken the Dollar – ultimately supporting emerging
market currencies including the Naira.
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