Tectono Business Review: NIGERIA

Monday 16 September 2019

NIGERIA – WEEK AHEAD

Lukman Otunuga

FXTM Senior Research Analyst

It will be a relatively quiet week for the Nigerian economy data-wise with the latest inflation figures and balance of trade figures under the spotlight.

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Given how the European Central Bank (ECB) has joined the global easing train in the face of plateauing global growth and trade uncertainty, this widens the path for central banks across the world to support their respective economies. Much attention will be directed towards the inflation figures for August which may shape monetary policy expectations for the rest of 2019.

Consumer prices are expected to rise 11.1% year-over-year last month. There will also be a strong focus on the balance of trade for Q2 which will be closely scrutinized by investors for signs of low oil prices impacting exports.

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In the commodity markets, Oil prices soared 20% as markets reopened to trade near $72 before surrendering half of its gains a few hours later. The drone attack on Saudi Arabia’s oil fields over the weekend have caused a disruption of 5.7 million barrels per day, which is almost 5% of global oil supply.

With the dynamics influencing oil prices swinging back to supply side from demand side factors, oil bulls could remain in control as geopolitical tensions hit global supply. A sustained appreciation in oil prices will be good news for emerging market energy exporters like Nigeria.

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Market sentiment is positioned to remain driven by geopolitical tensions following the drone attack on Saudi Arabian oil fields, US-China trade developments, Brexit and global stimulus hopes.

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The main risk in the week ahead will be the FOMC meeting and press conference. With a rate cut by the Federal Reserve a foregone conclusion, all eyes will be on Jerome Powell’s conference. Will the Fed fulfill market expectations by signalling further rate cuts in Q4 and beyond? This is a question on the mind of many investors.

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EXPORT

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EXPORT

Fellow #Nigerians, are you aware that our #crude #oil will soon become useless? Yes, it will, in no distant time, become #valueless owing to the fact that the #countries that rely on it as their only source of #energy are developing more affordable #alternative sources of energy. When this finally happens, what will we do? How are we currently preparing for this imminent #economic doom? Which other sector will continue to stabilize our economy? Nigerians, the only #solution is developing the #agricultural sector. In fact, this is the only #solution. Very soon, the major source of revenue will become agriculture and #agro-exports. How are you positioning yourself to play big in agro-export #business? Why don’t you get a practical manual that explains the stages of export trade from #processing and #packaging of #commodities to receipt of #payment by the #foreign buyers? Yes, arm yourself with the #contemporary #trends in #export #trade. This manual explains export #operations, export #management, export #documentations and methods of #payment in export trade? Yes, it is a contemporary step-by-step guide to export trade. It tells all the contemporary dynamics in export trade. To get it, click on this link: http://www.tectono-business.com/2016/02/contemporary-step-by-step-guide-to.html

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Monday 16 September 2019

NIGERIA – WEEK AHEAD

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