The
Pound was thrown back into the limelight today after UK retail sales
unexpectedly rose in August. http://www.tectono-business.com/2016/02/contemporary-step-by-step-guide-to.html
UK
retail sales dished out an upside surprise by rising 0.3% last month as
shoppers shrugged off Brexit concerns over the summer period. While this
encouraging report adds to a number of solid economic indicators produced by
the UK, investors are likely to remain more concerned with Brexit developments.
http://www.tectono-business.com/2016/02/contemporary-step-by-step-guide-to.html
Market
optimism over Britain striking a Brexit deal with the European Union has been
the primary driver behind the Pound’s appreciation in recent weeks. However, it
is becoming evident that Sterling remains extremely sensitive and highly
reactive to Brexit talks. The explosive price action witnessed yesterday
following reports of Theresa May set to reject the European Union’s “improved”
offer on the Irish border is a testament to this.
Investors
will be keeping a close eye on today’s informal EU summit in Salzburg which
will play a major role in where the Pound concludes this week. It is worth
noting that the Irish border puzzle remains a fierce obstacle to a deal, and it
will be interesting to see if both sides are able to overcome this issue. http://www.tectono-business.com/2016/02/contemporary-step-by-step-guide-to.html
Taking
a look at the technical picture, the GBPUSD is firmly bullish on the daily
charts with prices trading above 1.3200 as of writing. http://www.tectono-business.com/2016/02/contemporary-step-by-step-guide-to.html While Dollar weakness has
played a role in the Pound’s upside, most of the gains remain attributed to
Brexit optimism and positive UK economic data. A solid daily close above the
1.3200 level could inject bulls with enough inspiration to challenge 1.3280 and
1.3320, respectively.
Dollar
bulls were nowhere to be seen on Thursday as easing trade war fears boosted
risk sentiment – ultimately dampening the Greenback’s safe-haven appeal. A bout
of profit taking ahead of the FOMC statement next week fueled the downside with
the Dollar Index trading marginally below 94.30 as of writing. http://www.tectono-business.com/2016/02/contemporary-step-by-step-guide-to.html Sustained weakness under
the 94.30 level could send prices towards 94.00 in the near term.
In the
commodity markets, Gold prices struggled for direction despite easing trade
tensions softening the Dollar. http://www.tectono-business.com/2016/02/contemporary-step-by-step-guide-to.html Price action suggests that
the yellow metal is currently hunting for a fresh directional catalyst to make
the next major move. In regards to the technical perspective, the $1,200
psychological level
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