The loss was the first of
its kind for the party since 1999. Since the party’s defeat, the centre could
no longer hold. Some of its members have massively defected to the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC). Party
workers and national leadership of the party have quarreled over planned
reduction of workers at the party national secretariat Abuja. Party bigwigs
have confessed traded blames over what were responsible for the party’s loss of
the presidential seat for the first time.
In their several
disclosures, the major reason for their loss of 2015 presidential poll was its
failure to uphold the zoning principle that brought it to power in 1999. With
this, it is obvious that the PDP stakeholders played the ostrich when it
mattered most by not questioning President Jonathan’s candidature during the
last polls. Were they saying that it was a political miscalculation on the part
of the party by fielding presidential candidate of Southern extraction in the
2015 poll? If so, why didn’t those who are saying this now object to it then?
As immaterial as the
disclosures are now, it exposed the hypocrisy of the country’s political class
in power politics. They speak from both sides of their mouths, always mindful
of their personal interests and how to protect it.
It could be recalled that
the crisis that rocked the PDP over zoning of the presidency came to fore
following the sudden demise of President
Umaru Musa Yar ‘Adua in May 2010.
Lest we forget, at the peak
of Yar’Adua’s ailment, the then national chairman of the PDP, Chief Vincent Ogbulafor had publicly
declared that the party would adhere to its zoning principles.
Chief Ogbulafor’s assertion
many believe, ruffled feathers in the camp of the then vice president, Goodluck Jonathan who was being
prevented by a cabal from taking over power in the interim. Immediately
Jonathan was sworn-in after Yar’Adua’s demise, Chief Ogbulafor was removed from
office on the allegation of corruption.
With this and ahead of 2011
polls, some PDP chieftains and elders from the North began agitation for the
North to complete the remaining four years of Yar’Adua’s term in line with
party zoning principles. They hinged their quest on the principle of zoning as
enshrined in the party’s constitution. Those in support of Jonathan’s ambition
opposed them, arguing that the party’s zoning principle was unconstitutional.
Some groups from the Southeast
aligned with the North, claiming that if President Jonathan were allowed to
contest 2011 poll, it would jeopardise the chance of the southeast and
North-central zones to produce the president and vice in 2015 in line with the
party zoning principle. Some prominent party members including former
president, Chief Olusegun Obasanjo,
denied that there was zoning principle as it affects presidential seat.
The development divided the
party along ethnic and religious lines. There were discordant tunes among the
party faithful across the country. The matter at a stage took judicial
dimension as some party members from the North approached the court. Despite
all these, President Jonathan emerged the party’s presidential candidate in
2011 and eventually won the presidential poll. Even with this, it was obvious
that the North felt shortchanged by the development.
Ahead of the 2015 polls,
the North’s opposition to President Jonathan’s second term was obvious and
strong. First to let the cat out of the bag was the then Niger State governor, Dr. Muazu Babangida Aliyu. Dr. Aliyu
alleged that the North had a secret agreement with President Jonathan in 2011
that power would return to the North in 2015. President Jonathan and his
spin-doctors denied the alleged secret agreement, challenging Dr. Aliyu to
provide evidence.
Before Dr. Aliyu’s disclosure,
the former vice chancellor of Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria and secretary of
the Northern Elders Forum (NEF), Prof.
Ango Abdullahi, had said that the North would vote massively for any party
that gives its presidential ticket to their son.During the party’s 2015
presidential primaries, President Jonathan emerged a consensus candidate. The
likes of Dr. Aliyu and his Jigawa counterpart, Alhaji Sule Lamido, who had nursed the ambition to challenge
Jonathan in the primaries were allegedly persuaded and cowed.
The result of the 2015
presidential poll showed clearly that the North voted massively for President Buhari
in line with their earlier warning. That was how Jonathan and his party (PDP),
for the first time in the last 16 years lost the presidency.
North
And The PDP Presidential Slot
Smarting from the presidential defeat and ahead of 2019, the PDP at its first National Executive Council (NEC) meeting in Abuja recently said it has zoned the Presidency to the North, saying it has learned its lessons and would never repeat any such mistake in future. The party also said it had drawn a roadmap towards the 2019 general election and for future electoral success.
Smarting from the presidential defeat and ahead of 2019, the PDP at its first National Executive Council (NEC) meeting in Abuja recently said it has zoned the Presidency to the North, saying it has learned its lessons and would never repeat any such mistake in future. The party also said it had drawn a roadmap towards the 2019 general election and for future electoral success.
This was part of the
recommendations of Deputy Senate President, Ike Ekweremadu-led PDP
Post-Election Review Committee, which recommended that in accordance with the
popular views expressed in the submissions to the committee, the Presidency
should be zoned to the North as it would also assuage any ill-feelings over any
perceived breach of the party’s zoning principle.
The committee also
recommended that, as a matter of urgency, if PDP must heal inflicted wounds, it
should constitute a strong reconciliatory panel made up of party leaders to
facilitate the reconciliation of aggrieved members at all levels, just as it
recommended that the party reverts to the practice of having two deputy
National Chairmen as entrenched in the 2001 Constitution of the PDP.
With this political
development, it was expected that the PDP faithful from the North would jump
and hail the recommendations. But none of such has happened since then. Though,
it can be said that it is too early to talk about 2019 politics, PDP appears to
have lost its stronghold in the North.
Out of the 19 states in the
North, PDP controls three states namely Kogi, Taraba and Gombe. Also in the
south, the party is in control of Enugu, Ebonyi, Abia, Rivers, Cross River,
Delta, Bayelsa, and Akwa Ibom states. Governorship poll is scheduled for Kogi
and Bayelsa in November and December this year. Many believe that the success
or failure of the party in the two states will be a major determinant of its
survival and cohesion ahead of 2019. Another determinant is the
number of states and national assembly seats the party will retain at the
conclusion of the election cases pending in various tribunals across the
country.
While it is possible that
some APC governors may defect to PDP before 2019, there is higher probability
that before 2019 some PDP governors, especially from the North and Southeast
may join APC so far constitution did prevent them from defection. Also looking at political
precedents, more PDP members may join APC before 2019 for political survival.
If such happens, it may be
politically difficult for the PDP to regain its stronghold in the North before
2019, unless there is serious crisis in APC. A development that is not out of
place politically looking at the trend of events in the party since it came to
power.
Again, the studied silence
of former PDP governors and party stakeholders from the North since the
conclusion of the general elections is an indication that their grudges over
the altering of the zoning principle in the party is not yet over. As it is now,
some of them are already in dilemma over remaining in the PDP or pitching tent
with the APC. With such dilemma, which is neither here nor there, it appears
the party may engage in long search for relevance in the North ahead of 2019
polls. (guardian)
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