Tectono Business Review: SENTIMENT WHIPSAWS ON US-CHINA TRADE MIXUP; NSE SLIPS

Thursday 25 June 2020

SENTIMENT WHIPSAWS ON US-CHINA TRADE MIXUP; NSE SLIPS

Lukman Otunuga,

Senior Research Analyst at FXTM

Over the past few hours, risk sentiment has swung between two extremes thanks to conflicting statements from the White House over the US-China trade deal.

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A wave of risk aversion threatened to engulf financial markets during early trading on Tuesday after White House trade advisor Peter Navarro said that any trade deal with China was “over”. However, President Donald Trump swiftly came to the rescue by tweeting that the trade agreement with China is “fully intact”.

Asian shares were thrown on a rollercoaster ride following the trade confusion but the clarification offered by Trump later supported European markets. The mood in Europe brightened further following the better-than-expected Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) data from France and Germany.

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In the emerging market space, Nigeria’s All Share Index (ASI) closed in losses on Monday shedding roughly -0.30% thanks to profit taking and general caution. Sentiment towards Nigerian stocks has deteriorated over the past few months thanks to gloomy economic fundamentals, depressed oil prices and COVID-19. The ASI is down almost 8% year-to-date and could extend losses if the covid menace sabotages Nigeria’s fragile recovery.

On the data front, much attention will be directed towards the latest manufacturing and non-manufacturing figures on Thursday. Manufacturing PMI tumbled to 42.4 in May while non-manufacturing slumped to 25.3 during the same month. With Nigeria gradually easing lockdowns with some sectors reopening, it will be interesting to see whether the effects are reflected in the latest PMI figures for June.

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Commodity spotlight – WTI Oil

Oil gained over 10% last week despite the rising coronavirus cases in China and the United States. Prices seem to be rising higher on-demand optimism and commitment by OPEC+ to rebalance Oil markets, especially members who overproduced in April. Regardless of the current gains, the path of least resistance remains south. With the core fundamental themes weighing on market sentiment still present, the current rebound on Oil could be nothing more than a dead cat bounce. Looking at the technical picture, WTI Crude has broken above $40 and may challenge $42 in the short term.

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EXPORT

Hmmm!!! Folks, let us say the truth and shame the #devil. Many #Nigerian #non-oil products #exporters have been defrauded of huge amount of #money in the process of #exporting #agricultural #commodities and solid #minerals to #foreign #countries. Do you know why? They were not trained on #export #operations, #management, #documentations and the best methods of #payment in export #trade. This is terrible!!! Nigerians cannot continue to lose money to #foreigners in the course of export #business. Exporters, would you like to keep on being scammed? Why don’t you get a practical manual that explains the stages of export trade from processing and #packaging of commodities to receipt of payment by the foreign buyers? It explains export operations, export management, export documentations and methods of payment in export trade? Yes, it is a #contemporary step-by-step #guide to export trade. It tells all the contemporary dynamics in export trade. To get it, click on this link: http://www.tectono-business.com/2016/02/contemporary-step-by-step-guide-to.html

EXPORT

Fellow #Nigerians, are you aware that our #crude #oil will soon become useless? Yes, it will, in no distant time, become #valueless owing to the fact that the #countries that rely on it as their only source of #energy are developing more affordable #alternative sources of energy. When this finally happens, what will we do? How are we currently preparing for this imminent #economic doom? Which other sector will continue to stabilize our economy? Nigerians, the only #solution is developing the #agricultural sector. In fact, this is the only #solution. Very soon, the major source of revenue will become agriculture and #agro-exports. How are you positioning yourself to play big in agro-export #business? Why don’t you get a practical manual that explains the stages of export trade from #processing and #packaging of #commodities to receipt of #payment by the #foreign buyers? Yes, arm yourself with the #contemporary #trends in #export #trade. This manual explains export #operations, export #management, export #documentations and methods of #payment in export trade? Yes, it is a contemporary step-by-step guide to export trade. It tells all the contemporary dynamics in export trade. To get it, click on this link: http://www.tectono-business.com/2016/02/contemporary-step-by-step-guide-to.html

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Thursday 25 June 2020

SENTIMENT WHIPSAWS ON US-CHINA TRADE MIXUP; NSE SLIPS

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